March 03, 2006

Official 2006 Oscar Predictions

Here we go, for each award, four things: What Will Win (WWW), What Should Win (WSW), What Should Have Been Nominated (WSHBN), and What Should Not Have Been Nominated (WSNHBN). Here we go:

Best Picture:
WWW: "Brokeback Mountain"
WSW: "Munich"
WSHBN: "Chronicles of Narnia"
WSNHBN: "Crash"

Best Director:
WWW: Ang Lee ("Brokeback Mountain")
WSW: Steven Spielberg ("Munich")
WSHBN: Andrew Adamson ("Chronicles of Narnia")
WSNHBN: Paul Haggis ("Crash")

Best Actor:
WWW: Philip Seymour Hoffman ("Capote")
WSW: Heath Ledger ("Brokeback Mountain")
WSHBN: Eric Bana ("Munich")
WSNHBN: Joaquin Phoenix ("Walk the Line")

Best Actress:
WWW: Reese Witherspoon ("Walk the Line")
WSW: Witherspoon
WSHBN: Joan Allen ("Upside of Anger")
WSNHBN: Pass (I didn't see four of the five films)

Best Supporting Actor:
WWW: Matt Dillon ("Crash")
WSW: Jake Gyllenhaal ("Brokeback Mountain")
WSHBN: Jesse L. Martin ("Rent")
WSNHBN: George Clooney ("Syriana")

Best Supporting Actress:
WWW: Rachel Weisz ("The Constant Gardener")
WSW: Michelle Williams ("Brokeback Mountain")
WSHBN: Tilda Swinton ("Chronicles of Narnia")

Best Original Screenplay:
WWW: "Crash"
WSW: "Good Night, and Good Luck"
WSHBN: "The 40 Year-Old Virgin"
WSNHBN: "Syriana" (worst screenplay of the year, not best).

Best Adapted Screenplay:
WWW: "Brokeback Mountain"
WSW: "Munich"
WSHBN: "Sin City"
WSNHBN: "The Constant Gardener"

Best Documentary Feature:
WWW: "March of the Penguins"
WSW: "Murderball"
WSHBN: "The Aristocrats"
WSNHBN: "March of the Penguins"

Posted by Stephen Silver at March 3, 2006 06:00 PM

You're not off to a very good start after Clooney's victory.

Posted by: at March 5, 2006 08:28 PM

Steve, are you going to spontaneously combust now that Crash won?

Posted by: Dave J at March 5, 2006 11:27 PM

I liked your props to 40 year old virgin, sin city and Chronicles of Narnia. Let me help you fill in some things. For best actress, Keira Knightly should not have been nominated. I mean how many people have ever played Eliabeth Bennet. And for Best Suppoting Actress, I would say Frances McDormand should have been given a pass. I mean she has allready done the Midwest accent role allready.For best actor I disagree about Eric Bana and would have preferred Mickey Rourke from Sin City.

Posted by: A at March 6, 2006 11:44 PM
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