July 24, 2008

Quote of the Day

Alan Abramowitz, Thomas E. Mann, and Larry J. Sabato, on "The Myth of the Toss-Up Election":

While no election outcome is guaranteed and McCain's prospects could improve over the next three and a half months, virtually all of the evidence that we have reviewed--historical patterns, structural features of this election cycle, and national and state polls conducted over the last several months--point to a comfortable Obama/Democratic party victory in November. Trumpeting this race as a toss-up, almost certain to produce another nail-biter finish, distorts the evidence and does a disservice to readers and viewers who rely upon such punditry.
The day I see a single national poll with McCain in the lead is the day I believe it's actually a toss-up.

Posted by Stephen Silver at July 24, 2008 10:48 PM
Comments

The day we have national elections, I will worry about the national polls.

Posted by: Karol at July 27, 2008 09:48 PM
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